Orange Market Report January 2021

The real estate market in Fairfield ended 2020 noticeably stronger than it started.  Although the median sales price for single family homes was down 4.22% from November’s high, overall, the price ended higher than it started in January.  Compared to 2019, home values saw a 15.38% increase in 2020.  Fairfield ended the year in a sellers-market, with 4.9 months of inventory.  That shift came by July, ending a long buyers-market for most of 2018 and 2019.  Pandemic driven sales helped drive up demand as Fairfield and most towns saw an increase in out of state buyers.  Days on market were also low for the year, around 59 days for 2020 vs. 72 days for 2019, so houses were selling considerably quicker, with steep competition among buyers.  Pandemic buying was strengthened by historically low interest rates.  The 30yr fixed rate started the year at 4.51% and ended at 2.67%.  This was a win-fall for buyers and many homeowners who were able to refinance their higher rates, shortening their loan and saving hundreds of dollars in monthly interest moving forward.  Although some reports suggest a slowdown of the urban exodus, inventory is still lower than demand and millennial buyers are expected to keep future sales strong.  This is still a great time to sell.  Do you know anyone looking for more information about their real estate market?  I’d be happy to help.

 

12 Month Sales Activity

Housing Stats

(change from previous month)

Median Sale Price:$737,500
change:-4.22%
YTD change:15.41%
Units Sold:88
change:12.82%
Active Listings:191
change:-23.60%
New Listings:49
change:-35.53%
Days on Market:47
change:11.90%
Months of Supply:4.90 (Stable Market)
change:25.64%

2020 Local Real Estate Price Trends:

2020 turned out to be a stellar year for home value growth, which increased dramatically in nearly every town.  The three big factors driving home prices for the year were pandemic driven buyers, historically low interest rates and an unusually low inventory of houses.  Surprisingly, historic unemployment rates did not stop the surge in demand for CT houses.  Even with 2020’s spectacular gains however, only Westport, Milford and Fairfield have seen home values return to levels prior to the great recession of 2009. 

20192020Change
Bethel$345,000 $388,750 12.68%
Bridgeport$206,150 $245,000 18.85%
Easton$562,500 $586,250 4.22%
Fairfield$585,000 $675,000 15.38%
Milford$307,250 $350,000 13.91%
Monroe$367,500 $425,000 15.65%
Newtown$380,000 $430,000 13.16%
Norwalk$485,128 $539,500 11.21%
Orange$378,000 $395,000 4.50%
Redding$525,000 $567,500 8.10%
Ridgefield$628,250 $700,000 11.42%
Shelton$339,450 $379,000 11.65%
Stratford$250,000 $299,900 19.96%
Trumbull$385,000 $430,000 11.69%
Weston$685,000 $819,000 19.56%
Westport$1,125,000 $1,355,499 20.49%
Wilton$690,000 $810,000 17.39%

Gen X, Millennials Likely to Keep Home Buying Strong for Years to Come:

Between 2018 and 2028, the number of households is projected to increase by up to 12 million. Generation X and millennials are expected to drive most of that household formation. As they replace dropped households over that time, the two generations could add nearly 25 million new households by 2028, according to the CoreLogic Insights Blog.

The largest cohort of millennial buyers have yet to surface on the market, researchers note. That segment, from ages 28 to 30, numbers nearly 15 million and is approaching the average age to buy a first home, 33 years old, CoreLogic reports.

Even as younger generations wait to enter the housing market in high numbers, the market already faces a home inventory shortage. The number of homes for sale has reached the lowest level on record. That has prompted home prices to increase faster than incomes. Over the past two decades, home prices have increased by 1.6 times the rate of real household incomes, CoreLogic says.

Record low mortgage rates over the past few months have helped to offset high prices. Still, first-time home buyers are facing increasing affordability woes as they try to come up with a down payment. While the monthly mortgage payment and insurance have dropped by 3% compared to a year ago, the down payment needed is up 8% (from about $20,000 to about $22,000 for a median-priced home at $225,000), according to CoreLogic.

“This may be a daunting challenge for some particularly given that the median financial asset holding of families headed by a person under 35 years of age is only about $8,500,”

Exodus To The Suburbs Appears To Be Reversing:

The latest housing data shows consumers returning to urban areas after abandoning cities for the suburbs in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. In places such as New York, San Francisco, Chicago, and Boston, some rental buildings went from full occupancy to 50% vacant as remote work and school enabled residents to move to less congested areas.

But now there are signs of a reversal of that trend.

The Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® reports that sales of single-family homes and condos in the city were at their highest levels on record in October. In Chicago, home sales surged 39% the same month compared to a year ago, according to the Illinois Association of REALTORS®. In New York, single-family home sales jumped 34% from September to October.

But the appeal of big cities likely will return as the coronavirus vaccine rollout escalates, real estate experts predict. “I expect the big-city market to stay hot for a more gestalt reason: because city dwellers are city people,” Ryan Serhant, writes for Forbes.com. “City dwellers aren’t the type who want to live in rural areas, have only one or two local restaurants to choose from, and lose the electric energy that makes our cities such special places to be. Collectively, we are all looking ahead and looking forward to a return to pre-pandemic life.”With the pandemic, homeowners are seeking more privacy and security. The demand for fences has driven up prices. Since the begining of 2020, the price for pressure treated wood as more than doubled.

Fairfield Sales Trends: January-December

December Single-Family Home Sales

(OLP: original list price • LP: list price • SP: sale price • DOM: days on market)

AddressStylesq ftBRBA (f/h)OLPLPSPSP/OLPDOM
12 Meadowbrook RdCape Cod, Half Duplex89421/0$264,000 $264,000 $245,000 93%76
66 Elvira LnColonial4,57243/1$825,000 $749,000 $730,000 88%237
909 Church Hill RdColonial4,35354/0$774,900 $774,900 $745,000 96%91
2525 Hillside RdColonial2,87842/1$729,000 $729,000 $753,000 103%17
53 Round Hill DrColonial3,70042/1$1,099,500 $1,099,500 $1,020,000 93%47
319 Harbor RdOther3,58055/0$3,495,000 $2,998,000 $2,280,000 65%861
2273 Easton TpkeCape Cod1,07531/0$339,000 $330,000 $329,500 97%181
272 Knollwood DrCape Cod1,74931/1$568,500 $539,500 $517,500 91%64
1160 S. Pine Creek RdContemporary2,89132/1$929,000 $929,000 $850,000 91%29
336 Jackman AveColonial, Bungalow192832/1$599,000 $599,000 $600,000 100%29
65 New StCape Cod2,60232/1$619,000 $619,000 $636,000 103%44
54 Cardinal StColonial268842/1$575,000 $550,000 $546,000 95%43
152 Ruane StSplit Level1,24341/0$410,000 $399,900 $385,000 94%34
72 Ferncliff RdRanch1,93542/0$425,000 $425,000 $441,000 104%16
141 Wilton RdCape Cod1,30342/0$469,000 $459,000 $475,000 101%77
137 Woods End RdCape Cod190632/0$525,000 $525,000 $535,000 102%42
135 Alden StColonial1,76832/0$649,000 $599,000 $620,000 96%51
273 Bulkley DrColonial, Split Level4,64245/0$819,900 $819,900 $810,000 99%53
1516 Cross HwyColonial5,94154/2$1,498,000 $1,498,000 $1,500,000 100%69
1028 Pequot AveColonial4,26254/1$2,595,000 $2,595,000 $2,625,000 101%18
395 Woodridge AveCape Cod1,72242/0$554,900 $554,900 $585,000 105%25
1341 Redding RdColonial, Chateau4,93252/2$1,365,000 $1,365,000 $1,370,000 100%37
128 Sky Top DrRanch1,92332/1$650,000 $650,000 $650,000 100%16
206 Catamount RdBarn3,92032/1$789,000 $739,000 $690,000 87%227
229 Lakeside DrColonial, Ranch3,00034/0$850,000 $799,000 $775,000 91%92
3473 Redding RdRanch2,98643/0$769,000 $769,000 $850,000 111%29
664 Galloping Hill RdContemporary, Ranch3,38443/1$888,000 $888,000 $900,000 101%14
32 Blaine StColonial1,24431/1$439,000 $429,000 $415,000 95%158
212 Bullard St, Unit #212Colonial, Half Duplex1,66132/1$479,000 $479,000 $490,000 102%24
1032 Valley RdCape Cod, Contemporary1,66442/0$475,000 $475,000 $500,000 105%69
222 Samp Mortar DrCape Cod1,69032/0$634,900 $634,900 $680,000 107%27
193 S. Benson RdColonial1,84132/0$775,000 $725,000 $725,000 94%97
142 Trillium RdColonial3,05042/1$729,000 $729,000 $755,000 104%16
44 Ferguson DrColonial3,06542/1$799,000 $770,000 $765,000 96%62
179 Partridge LnColonial3,56853/1$900,000 $890,000 $880,000 98%120
580 Rolling Hills DrColonial4,54253/0$899,000 $899,000 $880,000 98%108
311 Rolling Hills DrColonial5,63244/1$1,049,000 $1,029,000 $963,000 92%75
365 Lalley BlvdColonial4,52454/1$1,775,000 $1,775,000 $1,645,000 93%208
933 Jennings RdRanch1,80933/0$527,500 $527,500 $500,000 95%59
254 Homeland StColonial1,86231/1$480,000 $480,000 $500,000 104%13
150 Primrose LnColonial3,01543/1$699,000 $699,000 $715,000 102%29
72 Melville AveColonial1,28432/0$475,000 $450,000 $440,000 93%104
180 Primrose LnColonial3,00833/1$669,000 $669,000 $701,000 105%74
111 Sasco Hill RdSaltbox2,30443/0$725,000 $725,000 $825,000 114%27
50 Bay Edge CtColonial3,91442/1$1,695,000 $1,625,000 $1,600,000 94%113
1051 Cedar RdColonial, Antique5,32755/2$1,950,000 $1,950,000 $1,816,000 93%86
72 Willow StColonial, Antique4,78755/1$1,995,000 $1,995,000 $1,950,000 98%221
1081 Hillside RdColonial, Antique5,17655/1$1,895,000 $1,895,000 $2,000,000 106%46
68 Miro StRaised Ranch2,31433/0$550,000 $535,000 $530,000 96%45
75 James StColonial1,69031/1$749,000 $675,000 $635,000 85%26
9 Curtis TerRanch4,43033/1$699,000 $699,000 $701,000 100%41
160 Stella LnColonial5,75055/1$949,000 $899,000 $860,000 91%168
267 Wakeman LnColonial3,92842/2$975,000 $975,000 $975,000 100%62
45 Jeniford RdColonial3,27843/1$975,000 $975,000 $1,025,000 105%13
9 Newman PlColonial1,78021/0$429,000 $429,000 $425,000 99%86
55 Pepperbush LnColonial2,04532/1$475,000 $475,000 $491,000 103%21
298 Figlar AveColonial2,14443/0$749,000 $749,000 $775,000 103%17
38 Morehouse DrColonial4,27055/1$1,175,000 $1,175,000 $1,180,000 100%53
30 Laurel Brook LnColonial8,61668/1$1,899,000 $1,899,000 $1,782,500 94%163
289 Fair Oak DrColonial6,86266/1$2,850,000 $2,850,000 $2,700,000 95%69
697 Tunxis Hill RdCape Cod, Bungalow1,14031/1$387,654 $387,654 $385,000 99%67
697 Tunxis Hill RdCape Cod, Bungalow1,14031/1$387,654 $387,654 $385,000 99%67
94 Limerick RdColonial2,04831/1$769,000 $769,000 $755,000 98%17
103 Ann StColonial2,09543/0$850,000 $850,000 $890,000 105%78
666 Sturges HwyContemporary, Modern3,06843/1$789,000 $789,000 $790,000 100%48
71 Yarrow RdColonial3,32253/1$900,000 $847,000 $821,000 91%141
99 Oriole LnColonial2,71242/1$679,000 $679,000 $670,000 99%322
857 Bronson RdColonial, Antique2,02923/0$699,000 $699,000 $747,000 107%26
83 Wheeler Park AveCape Cod, Colonial2,32352/0$509,000 $509,000 $497,000 98%35
267 Westlea RdColonial3,69242/1$995,000 $950,000 $908,000 91%128
45 Lindbergh StColonial130432/0$499,999 $499,999 $550,000 110%8
672 Church Hill RdColonial1,56631/1$575,000 $575,000 $575,000 100%52
89 Rakoczy AveColonial1,76032/1$549,000 $549,000 $575,000 105%42
15 Deer Park RdColonial4,25143/1$1,249,000 $1,249,000 $1,232,500 99%42
991 Pequot AveColonial, Contemporary3,62243/2$1,925,000 $1,925,000 $1,900,000 99%115
237 Bennett StCape Cod1,14032/0$414,900 $400,000 $405,000 98%33
29 Brookmere DrColonial, Cottage1,69431/1$525,000 $525,000 $550,000 105%33
37 Dunhill DrColonial2,05042/0$679,000 $665,000 $625,000 92%127
2470 Hillside RdColonial404744/27990007990007570000.94743429341
165 High Point LnColonial487754/1$1,498,000 $1,498,000 $1,560,000 104%22
703 Verna Hill RdColonial, Contemporary569054/2164900016490001649000121
47 Elderberry LnColonial230942/14850004850004600000.94845360814
2031 N. Benson RdRanch242432/05250005250005350001.01904761922
61 Fox Run RdCape Cod, Colonial211542/06500006500006810001.04769230817
74 Westford DrColonial200932/1699000699000699000110
21 Indian Point RdRanch304432/08290008290008100000.9770808269
116 Sasco Hill RdColonial, Antique439843/1159500015950001595000125
Units Sold: 887290007250007300000.99067599147
Are You Interested In A Real Estate Review?
A real estate review is designed to give you information about sales in your neighborhood you can use to make sure you are properly insured and aware of your home’s value.  Contact me today to get your personalized complementary review. phone:  (203) 895-2783.  email:  peterlamastro@kw.com