Market Overview

Orange home values continue their monthly pendulum swing experienced over the previous several months, as the median sales price for a single family home dropped 10.85% to $460,000 in February.  Home prices peaked in April 2021 at $526,250 and have been up and down each month since.  State wide, home values also fell, continuing a trend from their peak in June 2021.  After also peaking in June at $300,000, home values in New Haven County have been trending lower each month, save for a brief rally in October and November.  February’s median sales price for the county was $270,000.    The number of homes sold in Orange was about the same as January, 10 vs. 9, which is a bit better than the seasonal average.  February 2021 had 6 closings while 2020, 2019 and 2018 had 8, 3 and 3 closings respectively.  The time it took to sell those homes noticeably increased, from 29 days last month to 42 days in February.   Sellers received less than asking price on average as the percentage of list price to sales price saw a surprising decrease from 102% previously to 93%.  Low Inventory continues to trend downward over the past few months.  There were only 19 homes for sale in February, much lower than previous years.  Orange, like most of Connecticut, continues its long seller’ market trend, with just 1.2 months of housing supply.   Given the recent challenging political and economic climate, it is difficult to predict what the next few months will bring.  Although unemployment has reached pre-pandemic lows, inflation has hit 40 year highs.  Interest rates, after a brief decrease in late February, continued their rise in early March, back up to 3.85%.  Still historically low, but potentially putting pressure on buyers budgets when factoring in increased property values over the previous 12 months and the recent rise in inflation.  Many buyers still want to lock in these historically low rates before rates and home prices increase further moving into the Spring market.  With such low inventory, buyers are eager for more home choices.  For anyone considering a move, this is still a great time to sell a house in Orange.  Do you know anyone looking for more information about their real estate market?  I’d be happy to help.

12 Month Sales Activity

Housing Stats

(change from previous month)

Median Sale Price:$460,000
change:-10.85%
YTD change:-10.85%
12 month change:19.17%
Units Sold:9
change:-10.00%
Active Listings:19
change:-9.52%
New Listings:13
change:62.50%
Days on Market:42
change:44.83%
Months of Supply:1.30 (Seller's Market)
change:8.33%

Interest Rates

Market Temperature

Local Real Estate Price Trends

1-Jan1-FebChange
Bethel$599,000 $345,500 -42.32%
Bridgeport$310,000 $287,500 -7.26%
Brookfield$409,300 $490,000 19.72%
Danbury$402,000 $365,000 -9.20%
Easton$630,000 $1,365,000 116.67%
Fairfield$732,500 $655,000 -10.58%
Milford$420,000 $425,000 1.19%
Monroe$530,250 $499,000 -5.89%
N. Haven$475,000 $500,000 5.26%
Newtown$349,900 $380,000 8.60%
Orange$516,000 $460,000 -10.85%
Oxford$534,500 $482,450 -9.74%
Redding$697,500 $815,000 16.85%
Ridgefield$771,000 $650,000 -15.69%
Seymour$256,630 $350,000 36.38%
Shelton$400,000 $494,500 23.63%
Stratford$339,500 $385,000 13.40%
Trumbull$501,500 $522,400 4.17%
Weston$1,250,000 $1,034,500 -17.24%
Westport$2,200,000 $1,605,000 -27.05%

Tips

How To Save A Little At The Pump

With gas prices reaching record highs, many find their monthly budget taking a huge hit.  Below are a few ways to take the sting out of the recent increases and make less frequent stops to fill up:

Carpool: perhaps the greatest impact on gas consumption, cutting out even 1 day of commuting by ride sharing can make a big difference.

Drive More Efficiently: speeding, braking and rapid acceleration take a huge bite out of a cars mpg, by as much as 15%-30%. 

Slow Down: driving at excessive speeds negatively affect fuel economy.  Driving 65 mph can save between 6-7 mpg compared to driving 75 mph. 

Aerodynamics: Removing the roof cargo box when not needed can save between 2-9 mpg.

Cruise Control: can improve fuel economy by as much as 14% when used appropriately. 

Reduce Idle Time: A car engine consumes one quarter to one half gallon of fuel per hour when idling. Turn off the engine if idling for more than 1 minute.

Check Tire Pressure: collectively US drivers waste about 1% of all gas consumed due to underinflated tires.  Check the sticker on the driver’s side door jamb.   

Shop Around: use an app such as GasBuddy to find the best prices at local gas stations. 

Rest Easy by Building Simple Sleep Habits

Tossing and turning at night could be a sign that our circadian rhythm is out of sync. This built-in alarm clock affects our moods, metabolism and immune system.

Circadian rhythm is tied to natural light. Sunshine is meant to kickstart our day, while darkness is our cue to rest. This worked great when most people were farmers and ranchers, but today, we now have multiple screens keeping us awake, and bright blue screens can trick our brains into thinking it’s daytime. Our schedules are inconsistent and exacerbated by hopping time zones in video calls. All of this has thrown our circadian rhythm for a loop. 

Here are a few ideas to keep your circadian rhythm right-side up.

  • Establish and maintain a daily routine.
  • Spend time outdoors during the day.
  • Refrain from stimulants like coffee, nicotine or alcohol in the evenings.
  • Avoid all screens for an hour before going to bed.
  • Keep your bedroom cool and dark to encourage maximum restfulness.

Real Estate Headlines

Home Prices Set Records Ahead of Spring Buying:   Spring may have sprung early in the housing market. The U.S. median list price set a record high of $392,000 in February, according to realtor.com®’s Monthly Housing Trends Report. Many markets continued to post double-digit annual price gains. Over the last five years, we have seen home prices break records early in the season But this is the first time the record has been broken in February, signaling that competition is already heating up weeks before the start of the spring buying season.

Changes in Homeowner Tenure:  The American homeowner tenure average reached 13.2 years in 2021, a slight decline from 2020’s average of 13.5 years. Has homeowner tenure peaked as more Americans move?  Homeowner tenure is still up by historical standards; it stood at 10.1 years in 2012 for comparison. The lengthening tenure average in recent years occurred because of older homeowners’ growing desires to age in place, a shortage of homes for sale, and relatively low monthly payments due to record-low mortgage rates, according to an analysis 

Homeowners Tempted To Use Equity:  Homeowners are seeing record levels of equity in their properties, and many plan to tap into some of that newfound wealth.  Mortgage holders have an average of about $185,000 in home equity, according to research from Black Knight. That amount assumes retaining a 20% stake in the property.  The options to draw money from a home are typically cash-out refinancing, home equity lines of credit, and reverse mortgages.  Most lenders will require owners maintain at least 20% equity in their home.

Housing Wealth Skewed to Rich Homeowners:  Homeowners across the board are feeling richer from rising home prices, but the wealthiest have enjoyed the largest gain, according to a report from the National Association of REALTORS®. From 2010 to 2020, about 71% of the increase in housing wealth was in high-income households. Low- and middle-income households received a smaller share of housing wealth gains, according to the NAR report. High-income homeowners held 28% of all U.S. housing wealth in 2010, but by 2020, that percentage had grown to 42.6%.

Millennials Fear More Debt:  Debt is a significant concern for millennials, and their worries may be so great that they are reluctant to buy a home. Nearly half of the millennials surveyed in January by Rocket Mortgage said they had delayed their decision to purchase a home due to fear of falling into debt. They also reported wanting to save more money for a down payment and being concerned by  high costs of housing. Further, the age group has shown itself as more debt-averse than older generations.  For example, credit card debt among millennials is much lower than older age groups (averaging $4,300 for millennials compared to $7,155 for Gen Xers and $6,043 for baby boomers).

Mortgage Rates Rise Mid-March:  Following two weeks of declines, mortgage rates rose this week as U.S. Treasury yields increased. Over the long-term, rates are expected to continue to rise as inflation broadens and shortages increasingly impact many segments of the economy. However, uncertainty about the war in Ukraine is driving rate volatility that likely will continue in the short-term.

High Heating Bills Stun Homeowners:  Heating bills this winter have left many homeowners in sticker shock, as fuel costs rose from 5% – 100% throughout the country this winter. Natural gas suppliers in Missouri, Mississippi, and Alabama said they raised prices by 96% this year.

3 Mistakes of Novice Sellers:  With soaring home prices and high demand, homeowners are finding it a great time to sell. But some sellers—particularly first-timers—may be so caught up in the headlines about the rosy market that their expectations may become clouded.  Some of the mistakes of rookie home sellers in the current market include:  unrealistic price expectations, accepting the highest offer and trying to FSBO: “For sale by owner”.

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Sales Trends: January - February

February Single-Family Home Sales

(OLP: original list price • LP: list price • SP: sale price • DOM: days on market)

AddressStylesq ftBRBA (f/h)OLPLPSPSP/OLPDOM
218 Meetinghouse LnCape Cod1,36522/0$315,000$297,000$250,00079%240
942 Derby Milford RdRanch1,04021/0$170,000$170,000$159,00094%9
487 Wolcott LnRaised Ranch2,20832/1$475,000$475,000$480,000101%3
260 Argyle RdColonial3,67153/1$759,000$719,000$700,00092%135
333 Narrow LnSplit Level1,52941/1$519,900$449,900$400,00077%90
60 Grannis RdRanch2,12042/0$435,000$435,000$430,00099%19
980 Old Coach RdColonial2,86942/1$799,000$799,000$790,00099%28
852 Glenbrook RdRanch1,94532/0$490,000$475,000$460,00094%100
7 New Haven AveRaised Ranch2,88332/1$519,000$519,000$540,000104%42
Units Sold: 9$490,000$475,000$460,00094%42
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March 19th: national let’s laugh day  |  March 21st: world poetry day  |  March 22nd: as young as you feel day  |  March 24th: national cocktail day  |  March 26th:  wear a hat day  | March 28th:  respect your cat day  |   March 30th: take a walk in a park day