Market Overview

After two months of declining home values, the median sales price for a single-family home rose in Fairfield by 2.8%, from $829,500 to $853.275. Although down by over $80,000 from June’s peak, prices are up 16.49% for the year.  This is interesting news, in a market where much talk revolves around high interest rates and falling prices throughout the country.  Fairfield’s prices have remained mostly strong.  12 months ago, prices peaked at $820,000, before dropping a bit in the Fall, then gradually rising until June’s peak.  Fewer homes sold in September compared to August, 57 vs 80, and there were more new listings, 81, compared to 62 in August.  Inventory still remains low with 171 homes on the market.  In the month of September over the past three years, we saw 182, 281 and 507 homes listed for sale.  Statistically speaking, Fairfield still remains in a seller’s market.  Days on market still continue to be low at just 32 days.  The months of supply changed little with just 2.7 months compared with 2.6 in August.  4 months of supply indicates a shift towards a balanced market between buyers and sellers, where as 6 months begins a buyer’s market.  With the rapid rise in both home values and  interest rates this year, the cost to buyers has risen dramatically.  The 30yr fixed rate started the year at 3.11% and is currently at 6.92%; a 3.81 point increase.  For an $850,000 home purchase with 20% down payment, that translates to an additional $1580 monthly payment.  This has reduced the number of buyers so that there is no longer a buying frenzy in the market, however, houses are still selling at record values and in a relatively short amount of time.  The average sold price to asking price was 100% in September.  Fairfield’s market is definitely still strong compared to some other parts of the country.  For anyone considering a move, this is still a great time to sell a house in Fairfield.  Do you know anyone looking for more information about their real estate market?  I’d be happy to help.

12 Month Sales Activity

Housing Stats

(change from previous month)

Current MonthPrevious Month12 month ago
Median Sale Price:$853,275$829,500$820,000
change:2.87%4.06%
YTD change:16.49%
Units Sold:578075
change:-28.75%-24.00%
Active Listings:171164182
change:4.27%-6.04%
New Listings:816289
change:30.65%-8.99%
Days on Market:323040
change:6.67%-20.00%
Months of Supply:2.72.62.4
change:3.85%12.50%

Interest Rates

Absorption Rate

The Absorption Rate, also know as Months Of Supply,  is a great measure of the current market conditions.  It indicates the number of months it would take the current number of houses on the market to sell if no additional houses came on the market.  A months of supply under 4 is considered a seller’s market.  Between 4 – 6 months would be a balanced market while over 6 months is considered a buyer’s market.  

Local Real Estate Price Trends

Curent MonthPrevious MonthChange
Bethel$469,000 $459,000 2.18%
Bridgeport$322,500 $344,500 -6.39%
Brookfield$585,000 $552,500 5.88%
Danbury$415,000 $450,000 -7.78%
Easton$710,000 $995,000 -28.64%
Fairfield$853,275 $829,500 2.87%
Milford$489,950 $458,500 6.86%
Monroe$482,000 $562,000 -14.23%
Newtown$500,000 $518,000 -3.47%
North Haven$345,900 $360,000 -3.92%
Orange$575,000 $501,000 14.77%
Oxford$415,000 $530,000 -21.70%
Redding$630,000 $940,000 -32.98%
Ridgefield$914,900 $902,500 1.37%
Seymour$344,750 $347,950 -0.92%
Shelton$470,000 $460,000 2.17%
Stratford$407,000 $395,000 3.04%
Trumbull$554,500 $597,500 -7.20%
Weston$1,212,500 $1,275,000 -4.90%
Westport$2,080,000 $1,900,000 9.47%

National Real Estate Headlines

US Mortgage Rates Rise for Seventh Week to Highest in 16 Years:  Borrowing costs for home loans have reached their highest point in 16 years, with the interest on a conventional 30-year mortgage hitting 6.7% on Wednesday, according to Freddie Mac.  Mortgage rates have now more than doubled since the beginning of 2022. As measured by their “effective” rate, which factors in the compounding period for a loan and which thus offers a truer picture of the cost to homebuyers, mortgage rates are now just above 7%, according to Oxford Economics.   A percentage point increase to a mortgage rate can add hundreds of dollars to a property’s monthly payments, depending on the size of the loan.  Those sharply higher costs are chilling the housing market. The number of mortgage loan applications dropped roughly 14% during the final week of September, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.   Some relief for buyers may be on the horizon, as home prices are starting to fall and are likely to continue declining in certain real estate markets, economists predict.  Economists expect mortgage costs to stay elevated as the Federal Reserve continues to hike its benchmark interest in an effort to cool inflation, including two more hikes by year end. 

The Real Estate Market is Not In A Free Fall (and This is Why):  Reading recent headlines, you’d assume that the real estate market was about to collapse.  Although it’s undeniable that the real estate market is wrestling with lingering supply issues, as well as less-than-ideal interest rates, the industry is far stronger than it was a decade ago. Since 2012, the number of new home constructions has risen roughly 67% and homes home are still selling quickly, averaging 17 days on the market according to NAR’s most recent existing home sales report.  Across the country, current data does show the real estate market is taking a breath. It would seem that buyers are trying to grasp the current economic conditions.  In short, the real estate market is not in free fall. Despite ongoing difficulties caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, it remains stronger than it was since before the Great Recession of 2008.  Factors that lead to the housing decline of 2008 included a lack of jobs and income, the over-valuation of homes, the subprime mortgage crisis and the burst of the housing bubble.  Today’s scenario is less about an overinflated economy on the verge of rupture and more about the lingering after-effects of a generally slower economy. 

Most homeowners find renovations worth it despite the expense:  Many homeowners put off by high mortgage rates and home prices opted to renovate their spaces rather than move, even if it meant spending more than they planned, a recent study by House Method said.  The study surveyed 1,000 homeowners and said that 93% of them found renovations to be worth the time, money and any temporary discomfort that was caused.  The number one reason homeowners said they decided to renovate was to enjoy their living spaces more, and more than 75% said they intended to stay in their homes after the project’s completion. Roughly three quarters (76%) of respondents also said they planned on tackling another home renovation, whether in their current home or a new one in the future. 

Let Lighting Set the Tone:  When moving in or remodeling, homeowners are wise to focus on the power of light to illuminate rooms, add decorative panache and color, pare energy consumption and improve safety.  So much of the time, plans to decorate or fix up a home focus on big fun projects such as kitchens, bathrooms, paint palettes and furnishings. Other projects, like lighting, are often an afterthought.  Choosing where to cut holes for recessed ceiling cans or install light switches in walls may seem ho-hum and boring, but these decisions and others should be part of any plan because there’s so much new lighting technology to take advantage of. 

Tips

Pumpkin: It’s Not Just for Carving

Plump, orange pumpkins are a beloved part of American autumn culture. They’re a hands-down favorite decoration for doorways and tabletops. Carving the jolly jack-o-lantern is one of the season’s most treasured traditions.

The downside is that many of us waste most, if not all, of the pumpkin. And what a waste it is, because pumpkins are delicious, low in fat and calories, and chock full of nutrients. They can be roasted like any other squash. You can also use them to make soups, sauces, pies, and breads. 

Plan to carve a pumpkin? You can still make the most of its seeds and “guts.” Roasted pumpkin seeds are not only yummy; they also provide healthy protein. You can even use the seeds to make a pesto. While it’s tempting to toss the slimy pumpkin guts, consider using them in stocks or pumpkin bread instead. 

If you’re fortunate enough to harvest a pumpkin, remember the leaves and flowers are edible. Toss the flowers in a salad, prepare the leaves like spinach or other greens, and relish the sustainability of the pumpkin! 

Food

Roasted Pumpkin Seeds:

Ingredients:
 

Seeds from 2 large pumpkins

½ tsp. salt

½ tsp. grapeseed oil

½ tsp. Lawry’s Seasoned Salt

Instructions:

Scrape out seeds from pumpkins. Using a colander, wash and clean  seeds, removing pumpkin pulp and deformed seeds.  Soak clean seeds in a large bowl of water for 30 minutes or overnight in refrigerator. Drain.  Bring a stock pot of water to boiling, then add seeds and salt. Boil for 10 minutes.  Drain seeds and place in a bowl. Toss seeds with oil, then spread in thin layer on greased cookie sheet. Sprinkle with seasoned salt.  Place in 350° F oven and stir every 10 minutes to keep from burning. Bake for about 40 minutes, or until the seeds become firm and dark yellow. Remove from oven and allow to cool.

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Sales Trends: January - September

September Single-Family Home Sales

(OLP: original list price • LP: list price • SP: sale price • DOM: days on market)

AddressStylesq ftBRBA (f/h)OLPLPSPSP/OLPDOM
56 Rugby RdOther1,84043/0$999,000$999,000$1,058,407106%39
45 Abbey RdCape Cod, Colonial2,99442/1$1,149,000$1,149,000$1,100,00096%76
425 Half Mile RdColonial3,20542/1$1,150,000$1,150,000$1,190,000103%4
315 Acorn LnColonial4,44143/1$1,449,000$1,449,000$1,528,000105%16
101 High Meadow RdRanch2,26032/0$719,000$719,000$790,000110%14
197 Judson RdColonial3,15743/0$1,295,000$1,295,000$1,276,00099%27
1005 Mill Hill RdColonial2,13632/0$750,000$750,000$695,00093%32
127 Oldfield RdColonial4,19755/1$1,799,000$1,799,000$1,820,000101%56
714 Valley RdFarm House, Modern3,80043/1$1,250,000$1,250,000$1,390,000111%69
155 Halley AveColonial1,00832/0$349,000$334,900$320,10092%134
286 S. Benson RdCape Cod1,78542/0$784,000$784,000$784,000100%4
136 Orchard Hill LnSplit Level2,80242/1$829,000$829,000$810,00098%14
508 Cornell RdColonial3,41343/1$1,299,000$1,299,000$1,356,000104%12
89 Bennett StRanch1,92031/1$525,000$525,000$590,000112%80
198 Blaine StCape Cod1,66032/0$685,000$619,000$600,00088%96
332 South StCape Cod1,79331/1$795,000$795,000$705,00089%32
457 Merwins LnColonial4,04944/1$1,550,000$1,550,000$1,565,000101%8
48 Highlawn RdColonial1,52332/0$599,000$599,000$630,000105%45
1033 Reef RdColonial1,92843/0$1,499,000$1,499,000$1,350,00090%67
10 Beaver Brook LnCape Cod, Colonial1,47742/0$415,000$415,000$400,00096%9
455 Lenox RdCape Cod, Colonial1,30132/0$379,900$379,900$411,000108%14
54 Benedict AveColonial1,97741/1$559,900$525,000$492,00088%81
145 Saxonwood RdRanch3,59032/0$699,000$699,000$680,00097%27
186 Samp Mortar DrCape Cod2,93342/1$900,000$900,000$853,27595%43
1029 Fairfield Woods RdColonial, Farm House1,72522/0$515,000$515,000$575,000112%83
85 Louvain StCape Cod1,86032/0$549,900$549,900$578,500105%20
171 Woody LnColonial2,41842/1$889,000$889,000$915,000103%51
257 Rowland RdColonial3,20742/1$1,495,000$1,395,000$1,375,00092%38
3920 Redding RdColonial6,33153/2$1,795,000$1,695,000$1,600,00089%130
142 Adelaide StRaised Ranch1,72431/1$499,900$499,900$525,000105%10
110 Fieldcrest RdCape Cod2,06533/0$539,900$539,900$565,000105%19
45 Phyfe RdColonial1,98642/1$699,000$699,000$751,000107%21
329 Fairview AveColonial2,46042/1$899,000$859,000$825,00092%58
1039 Reef RdColonial1,92843/0$1,499,000$1,499,000$1,350,00090%66
799 Verna Hill RdColonial5,74953/1$2,395,000$2,250,000$2,250,00094%235
90 Ferncliff RdCape Cod2,01543/0$825,000$825,000$835,000101%14
80 May StCape Cod1,61332/0$475,000$440,000$442,50093%49
628 Katona DrRaised Ranch1,81632/1$480,000$480,000$470,00098%12
1346 Stratfield RdCape Cod1,21731/1$550,000$499,000$480,00087%112
500 Old Academy RdColonial7,54944/1$3,200,000$2,300,000$1,850,00058%113
340 Old Mill RdCape Cod2,57132/1$1,260,000$1,260,000$1,260,000100%30
282 James StColonial3,89643/1$1,579,000$1,579,000$1,800,000114%5
108 Oakwood DrCape Cod1,51131/0$495,000$495,000$485,00098%22
294 Marlborough TerRanch1,95432/0$469,000$469,000$487,000104%20
55 Barton RdColonial2,75642/1$865,000$865,000$900,000104%7
170 Middlebrook DrColonial2,44643/0$999,000$949,000$930,00093%40
131 Toilsome Hill RdColonial3,88343/1$1,199,000$1,199,000$1,199,000100%78
456 Hillside RdColonial6,77345/1$2,195,000$2,195,000$2,125,00097%29
1569 Brookside DrColonial2,20232/1$825,500$825,500$910,000110%53
868 S. Pine Creek Rd, Unit #868Colonial2,44832/1$1,050,000$1,050,000$1,050,000100%11
598 Rock Ridge RdSplit Level2,77243/1$899,900$899,900$950,000106%20
2 Hickory LnColonial2,32832/1$875,000$875,000$1,150,000131%16
43 Rena PlRanch1,04031/0$360,000$345,000$320,00089%58
58 Longview AveRow House95021/0$315,000$315,000$327,000104%75
201 Old Spring RdColonial1,77631/1$749,000$749,000$705,00094%68
2268 Fairfield Beach RdCottage1,29331/1$999,000$999,000$1,151,000115%11
360 Old Post RdColonial, Saltbox2,50032/1$1,195,000$1,195,000$1,195,000100%14
Units Sold: 57$865,000$859,000$853,275100%32
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10/21: national loud shirt day    |   10/23: national Boston cream pie day   |   10/25:  world pasta day   |  10/25: national pumpkin day   |   10/27:  national American beer day   |   10/28:  national chocolate day   |   10/29: national oatmeal day   |   10/31:   national unity day  (and HALOWEEN!)